Can the Local Government Elections affect the St Joseph Constituency Bye-Election? I think so, because of the bandwagon effect. (Especially if one party does particularly well in the surrounding Eastern corridor.)
The bandwagon effect refers to people doing certain things because other people are doing them, regardless of their own beliefs, which they may ignore or override. For instance, once a product becomes popular, more people tend to “get on the bandwagon” and buy it, too. The bandwagon effect explains why there are fashion trends and has also been used to explain political bandwagons.
So will winner take all in the East?